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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BanfieldChrisprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (70–71, n=141)33% (1–2, n=3)53% (20–18, n=38)66% (490–255, n=745)
Consensus PnL-$330K-$9.4K-$43K-$131K
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #958PM monthly #73PM monthly #46 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (13 of 24 open)no open consensus position40% (2 of 5 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 2 at avg 49¢, ROI +50%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%5% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)50% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 100% of 7)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 1)55% (won 100% of 11)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)0%5% (won 100% of 1)51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BanfieldChrisprimmRN1
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Raptors $5.6K——Celtics $13K
Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.6K—Over $6.8K—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $8.5K——Celtics $277
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $9.6K——Raptors $205
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Raptors $9.4K——Raptors $142
Wizards vs. Pacers
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $5.5K——Pacers $3.3K
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.7K——Cavaliers $166
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $554——Under $139
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $317——Pacers $193
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $123——Knicks $382
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $21——Cavaliers $102
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers
same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State Buccaneers $79——East Tennessee State Buccaneers $16