← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | FatsLivesMatter | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (70–71, n=141) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 58% (15–11, n=26) | 66% (490–255, n=745) |
| Consensus PnL | -$330K | $822K | $2.2K | -$131K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #918 | PM monthly #46 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 47% (7 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (41 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 88% of 16 at avg 57¢, ROI +24% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 25% (won 75% of 4) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 69% (won 91% of 11) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | FatsLivesMatter | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Raptors $5.6K | Raptors $29K | — | Celtics $13K |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $317 | Pacers $13K | — | Pacers $193 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $5.5K | Pacers $3.3K | — | Pacers $3.3K |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $227K | Ciryl Gane $323K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $8.5K | — | — | Celtics $277 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $9.6K | — | — | Raptors $205 |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Raptors $9.4K | — | — | Raptors $142 |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $3.7K | — | — | Cavaliers $166 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $554 | — | — | Under $139 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Knicks $123 | — | — | Knicks $382 |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $21 | — | — | Cavaliers $102 |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $79 | — | — | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $16 |