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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | FeedTheBigBird | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (47–59, n=106) | 68% (17–8, n=25) | no settled market | 67% (429–211, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | -$550K | $884K | — | -$142K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | — | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (9 of 11 open) | 29% (4 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (34 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | FeedTheBigBird | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $117K | Kings $84 | — | Magic $1.4K |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $21K | Ciryl Gane $49K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $6.9K | — | — | Magic $2.6K |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $5.5K | — | Magic $2.4K |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $620 | — | Magic $636 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $249 | — | Magic $354 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $36K | — | Trail Blazers $612 |
| Magic vs. Kings same side · consensus Magic | Magic $12K | — | — | Magic $25K |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $12K | — | — | Kings $1.1K |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $11K | — | Trail Blazers $81 |