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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HRAImail-.- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3301, n=7819) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6473–6009, n=12482) | 89% (17–2, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $3.6M | $61K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #476 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (16 of 24 open) | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 73% (90 of 123 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 90% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 90% (won 100% of 9) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | HRAImail-.- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $51K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $662 | Yes $25K |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | Under $254 | — |
| Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $624 | Yes $10K |
| Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $651 | Yes $8.4K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $499 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $98K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Dplus KIA $33K | — | Dplus KIA $30 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.4K | No $3.0K |
| Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello same side · consensus Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello $2.4K | — | Alice Tubello $2.9K | — |