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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3295, n=7816)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$3.3M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #484
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)69% (20 of 29 open)71% (183 of 258 open)74% (37 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4KYes $73K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14KOver $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur Rinderknech $150—Ben Shelton $8.1K—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $862Over $71
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $572Over $10
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $116——No $26
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $8Under $35
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $3.6K—Rider Broncs $175—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $499No $8
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $36——Yes $66