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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (21–15, n=36) | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 50% (65–65, n=130) | 67% (4–2, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | -$204K | $8.4M | -$22K | -$82K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (18 of 31 open) | 82% (32 of 39 open) | 47% (42 of 89 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $63K | — | Raptors $129 | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | Yes $31K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $18K | Bills $3.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Warriors $14K | — | Pelicans $472 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Nuggets $77 | — | Rockets $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $1.1K | — | Rockets $78 | — |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka | Aryna Sabalenka $54K | — | Aryna Sabalenka $84K | — |
| Wizards vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $110K | — | Pistons $610 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $26 | No $41K | — | — |
| Pelicans vs. Warriors same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $27K | — | Warriors $213 | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | Billy Harris $4.6K | — | Billy Harris $6.2K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $1.7K | — | Nuggets $2.9K | — |