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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | rainbowlilies | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4512–3287, n=7799) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 43% (2912–3895, n=6807) | 47% (13877–15390, n=29267) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $9.4M | $157K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #571 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (17 of 22 open) | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 51% (134 of 265 open) | 54% (15 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=544 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 7% of 5875 at avg 5¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 96% (won 5% of 5667) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 2% (won 36% of 108) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 1% (won 70% of 64) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 1% (won 83% of 36) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.