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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (59–67, n=126) | 75% (732–246, n=978) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 66% (479–242, n=721) |
| Consensus PnL | -$296K | $69K | $227K | -$146K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 68% (57 of 84 open) | 61% (27 of 44 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B opposite sides · consensus MOUZ | MOUZ $202K | G2 $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $10 | Bucks $2.9K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $65 | Under $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $125 | Rockets $81 | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal same side · consensus Sumit Nagal | — | Sumit Nagal $1.2K | — | Sumit Nagal $3.0K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $83 | Under $2.7K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $1.4K | Rockets $791 | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $93 | — | Vikings $1.9K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $165 | Falcons $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $17 | Over $430 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $3 | Rockets $55 | — |