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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)48% (62–68, n=130)75% (739–246, n=985)no settled market57% (150–113, n=263)
Consensus PnL-$290K$69K—$6.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #6was PM monthly #584
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)68% (71 of 105 open)no open consensus position45% (14 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +41 pts n=24, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +38 pts n=23, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +30 pts n=33, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 111 at avg 65¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 100% of 18)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)47% (won 100% of 52)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)37% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677omnibus-076daa
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Elina Svitolina $75
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
opposite sides · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
—Aryna Sabalenka $984—Mirra Andreeva $128
Juventus FC vs. OL Lyonnes: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $477—Under $5
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
same side · consensus Tiago Pereira
Kilian Feldbausch $67KKilian Feldbausch $548——
Will England win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.6K—Yes $117
Will France win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.4K—No $41
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $706—No $2.7K
Vietnam vs. Chinese Taipei: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $42
Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)
same side · consensus Chinese Taipei
—Chinese Taipei $1.7K—Chinese Taipei $75
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $218—Yes $1.2K
Will Albania win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
—No $430—No $887
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $29—No $737
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
—No $431—No $15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus No
—No $268—No $65
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $15—Cowboys $97
UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Jim Miller
—Jim Miller $2—Jim Miller $81
Will Montenegro vs. Latvia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1—Yes $1