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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GC-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)46% (1167–1345, n=2512)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M-$9.9K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #607PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)74% (84 of 114 open)64% (106 of 166 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GC-PRN1
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $711No $4.3K
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $5.3KTom Gentzsch $12—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.8KNo $146
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $690No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $1.5K
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $201Yes $670
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $365Yes $390
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $357—Under $157
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $130No $62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $160KYes $2.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31K—Daniil Medvedev $36K
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic $3.3K—Novak Djokovic $30K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.4KYes $12K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $221Over $7.9K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $4.4K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $882Under $1.5K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251—Under $238
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194—Over $81