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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4516–3391, n=7907)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)82% (5501–1198, n=6699)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$141K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #69PM monthly #21PM monthly #534PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)73% (130 of 178 open)77% (54 of 70 open)52% (14 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)6% (won 99% of 259)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 100% of 895)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)22% (won 100% of 954)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)51% (won 100% of 2163)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-PRN1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $643No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KUnder $1.3KOver $1.5K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KYes $2.6KNo $1.8K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13KQuentin Halys $861—Quentin Halys $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754—Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $667No $288—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $601No $324—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831—Yes $61
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $563Yes $68—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $170Seahawks $7—
Will Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $54No $90—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $166—
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $2.2K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $970—
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $1.9K—Yosuke Watanuki $286
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2KNo $17—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $324—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $810No $572—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $1.1K
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $100No $994—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $843No $193—
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $278No $623—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $739No $133—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $746Yes $21—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $413No $332—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $467No $273—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $233No $414—
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $581No $5—
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $336No $225—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $255No $206—
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $390No $70—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $260No $180—
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Harold Mayot $243—Harold Mayot $123
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $168No $195—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $249—Under $48
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $173No $111—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116—Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1