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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 40% (3385–5154, n=8539) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (20932–20600, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$465K | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #279 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (12 of 18 open) | 70% (385 of 549 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.