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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | Scrip-scrip | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 42% (124–169, n=293) | 68% (313–146, n=459) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $172K | -$105K | $0 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #38 + pinned | PM monthly #232 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 74% (28 of 38 open) | 70% (30 of 43 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 2 at avg 46¢, ROI +54% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 100% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | Scrip-scrip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato | Francisco Comesana $91K | Marco Cecchinato $88K | Marco Cecchinato $43K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | Jazz $17K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $19K | Under $742 | — | — |
| Knoxville: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh opposite sides · consensus Michael Mmoh | — | Michael Mmoh $13K | Aidan Mayo $198 | — |
| Sopo: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal opposite sides · consensus Maria Lourdes Carle | — | Valentina Mediorreal $492 | Maria Lourdes Carle $3.1K | — |
| W50 Chihuahua: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Miriana Tona opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Tikhonova | — | Anastasia Tikhonova $502 | Miriana Tona $369 | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Jessica Pegula | Jessica Pegula $19K | — | Jessica Pegula $45K | — |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $3.9K | Elmer Moeller $11K | — | — |
| Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet | — | Oliver Tarvet $5.0K | Oliver Tarvet $985 | — |
| Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves same side · consensus Carolina M. Alves | — | Carolina M. Alves $1.7K | Carolina M. Alves $206 | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $192 | Kent State $1.2K | — | — |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4 | — | Under $18 | — |