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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (15507–15590, n=31097)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.2M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #106PM monthly #60PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (11 of 16 open)74% (81 of 110 open)56% (104 of 185 open)65% (33 of 51 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $20—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $6.7K—Lorenzo Musetti $811—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $511——No $4.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $60No $2.3K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $70No $1.9K
W35 Orlando, FL: Evialina Laskevich vs Aspen Schuman
opposite sides · consensus Evialina Laskevich
——Aspen Schuman $4Evialina Laskevich $399
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $161—Yes $2—
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
——Cadence Brace $4Jo-Yee Chan $36
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $95K—Magic $255—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K—Yes $2.4K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $36Yes $11K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $4—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
——Dalibor Svrcina $3.7KDalibor Svrcina $1.8K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Over $3.0K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Max Hans Rehberg $87Max Hans Rehberg $834
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70—Yes $330—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Ivan Gakhov $149Ivan Gakhov $225
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
same side · consensus Greet Minnen
——Lisa Pigato $7Lisa Pigato $142
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $40—Yes $23—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3Under $35
W35 Orlando, FL: Vivian Wolff vs Edda Mamedova
same side · consensus Vivian Wolff
——Vivian Wolff $16Vivian Wolff $9