← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (572–652, n=1224) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) |
| Consensus PnL | $85K | $6.1M | $11.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #49 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (40 of 76 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (79 of 112 open) | 51% (20 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=286 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1803 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 36% (won 1% of 648) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 55) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 69% of 45) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 99% of 1055) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $201 | — | No $268K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3 | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $4 | — | Yes $20K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $48 | — | Yes $291K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $744 | — | Yes $183K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $347 | — | No $43K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | Yes $18K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $59 | — | Yes $1.4K | — |