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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107BreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)48% (2154–2335, n=4489)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$76K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #405PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus27% (22 of 82 open)71% (73 of 103 open)no open consensus position59% (19 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=1115, ROI +1%
  • NBA +10 pts n=68, ROI +19%
  • MLB +2 pts n=444, ROI −3%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won61% of 3062 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 5% of 1196)10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 61% of 23)36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 53% of 15)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 98% of 1828)20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107BreakTheBank00gringo00primm
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.3KNo $252K——
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $700Browns $255K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14KYes $169K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $227No $40K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $473Yes $28K——
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $192No $2.4K——
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.6KNo $184K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.2KYes $77K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21Yes $14K——
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $82No $10K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.4KYes $1.1K——