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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (2154–2335, n=4489) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $76K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #405 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 27% (22 of 82 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 3062 at avg 58¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 5% of 1196) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 61% of 23) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 53% of 15) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 98% of 1828) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.3K | — | No $252K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $700 | — | Browns $255K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $227 | — | No $40K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $473 | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $192 | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.6K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.2K | — | Yes $77K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21 | — | Yes $14K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $82 | — | No $10K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $4.4K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |