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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x87a718...408ceandb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (1100–635, n=1735)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$133$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #110PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (17 of 30 open)71% (67 of 94 open)48% (19 of 40 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won—66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x87a718...408ceandb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $54—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $765—Over $1.8K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $257—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19—No $524
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $47—Yes $7
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5—Under $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $21—Over $360
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $240
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24—Under $20
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $41
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1