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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)57% (378–285, n=663)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$98K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #661PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus73% (19 of 26 open)71% (73 of 103 open)65% (98 of 151 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +35 pts n=173, ROI +33%
  • NBA +35 pts n=74, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +29 pts n=106, ROI +18%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 483 at avg 60¢, ROI +24%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 21% of 24)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 83% of 88)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 94% of 239)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 98% of 132)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $171KJets $192—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.5KNo $24K——
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.9KNo $590——
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.9KNo $747——
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $503Yes $28K——
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K—
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Heroic
B8 $5.2K——B8 $19K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643—