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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBanke46m3
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (10862–6269, n=17131)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$7.9M$680K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #3PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus70% (31 of 44 open)82% (23 of 28 open)65% (340 of 526 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
Weakest topic——NFL −6 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)38% (won 19% of 2052)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)7% (won 53% of 368)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)9% (won 72% of 497)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)46% (won 97% of 2506)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBanke46m3
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $407KYes $17
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $12KYes $81
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $302
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22KYes $8
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $286
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $12
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KYes $6
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.4KYes $547
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $50Yes $40