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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3ferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (10876–6303, n=17179)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$649K$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #1PM monthly #126PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)67% (268 of 398 open)74% (20 of 27 open)60% (34 of 57 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=121, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1164, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=150, ROI +19%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5751 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)38% (won 18% of 2184)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)7% (won 53% of 393)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)9% (won 71% of 531)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 2643)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3ferrariChampions2026RN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $409KYes $18——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $81——
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $11KOver $125
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $6.2KMax Hans Rehberg $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.6K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3KYes $340——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $1.8KHornets $124
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Spurs $265Kings $243
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $8——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18KYes $357——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $12——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $6——
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
——Sumit Nagal $4.2KSumit Nagal $997
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4.6KOver $254
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.2KYes $500——
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
——Zsombor Piros $2.4KZsombor Piros $644
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $1.5KCavaliers $57
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49Yes $40——