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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3ferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)63% (10878–6279, n=17157)35% (3646–6660, n=10306)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$680K$2.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #419PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus85% (28 of 33 open)63% (315 of 500 open)74% (26 of 35 open)68% (131 of 192 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=121, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1164, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=150, ROI +19%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=15—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5751 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)38% (won 18% of 2184)—29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)7% (won 53% of 393)—16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)9% (won 71% of 531)—16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 2643)—39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3ferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $298K—Jaguars $198K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KYes $17——
Blues vs. Devils
opposite sides · consensus Devils
——Devils $28KBlues $2
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
——Canadiens $27KUtah $247
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $26KUtah $2
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
——James Kent Trotter $13KAndres Andrade $4.7K
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
——Blues $15KDevils $4
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari
——Maria Sakkari $12KAliaksandra Sasnovich $665
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $68——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
——UTSA $7.2KFlorida Atlantic $81
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
——Golden Knights $5.9KRed Wings $2
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.9KOver $425
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $309——
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2K—Under $79—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $485—
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $24—No $312
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3Under $8
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $192K—Ravens $1.2K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $89K—Ravens $50—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $8——
Ducks vs. Oilers
same side · consensus Oilers
——Ducks $20KDucks $12
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
——Thiago Seyboth Wild $15KThiago Seyboth Wild $2.6K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $309——
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
——Bruins $15KBruins $109
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $12——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $6——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KYes $524——
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $287—Ravens $655—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $22—No $628
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flyers
——Flyers $296Flyers $238
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
—Energetik Mingechevir $5—Energetik Mingechevir $243
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $50Yes $40——