Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xheavy88800gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)57% (4545–3364, n=7909)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$392K$3.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #201 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)no open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)90% (146 of 163 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=2137———
Settled positions, side won56% of 6372 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 8% of 591)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 42% of 1670)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 61% of 2449)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 82% of 1662)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xheavy88800gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $27K——No $202K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $15K——No $30K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11K——Yes $31K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Luciano Darderi $108—Rinky Hijikata $14K—
Chennai Open: Aliona Falei vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Magda Linette
Magda Linette $36—Aliona Falei $914—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6K——Yes $274K
Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
Jan Kumstat $16—Jan Kumstat $15K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $438—Mary Stoiana $7.8K—