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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xheavy888RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)57% (4465–3340, n=7805)48% (12896–14023, n=26919)45% (537–650, n=1187)
Consensus PnL$388K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #201 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus82% (40 of 49 open)58% (15 of 26 open)81% (58 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=2075——
Settled positions, side won56% of 6272 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 8% of 590)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 42% of 1650)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 61% of 2401)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 82% of 1631)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xheavy888RN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $41Commanders $125Commanders $32K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $27K—No $202K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14K—No $34K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11K—Yes $36K
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $658Over $678—
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $435Over $259—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6K—Yes $270K
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $433Commanders $161K
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Christian Langmo
same side · consensus Christian Langmo
Jake Delaney $24Jake Delaney $2.4K—
Senators vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Senators
Ducks $12Ducks $657—
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $30Under $476—