← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 1rerrr | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (1170–1194, n=2364) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 65% (863–456, n=1319) |
| Consensus PnL | -$53K | $5.9M | $11.1M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #934 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 79% (133 of 168 open) | 70% (51 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 1301 at avg 48¢, ROI +27% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 63% of 165) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 74% of 536) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 83% of 497) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 87% of 103) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.