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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
38791873984189joseph00677RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)46% (6403–7602, n=14005)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$376K$5.6M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus54% (240 of 448 open)no open consensus position59% (35 of 59 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=391———
Settled positions, side won46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 7% of 326)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢64% (won 48% of 1149)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 64% of 162)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 90% of 164)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market38791873984189joseph00677RN1sainttroplay
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $3.0K—Jiri Lehecka $13K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Athletic Club $22—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $163—Over $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6—Over $1.5K—
Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $678—Under $24—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $101—Over $382—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $142—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Villa Maria: Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova
same side · consensus Hernan Casanova
Hernan Casanova $966—Hernan Casanova $11K—
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
No $4.1K—No $2.9K—
Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert
same side · consensus Simona Waltert
Simona Waltert $471—Simona Waltert $6.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $465—Over $2.9K—
VfB Stuttgart leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $203—No $3.1K—
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester United FC
Manchester United FC $677—Manchester United FC $2.3K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $3—No $2.4K—
Villa Maria: Juan Estevez vs Ryo Tabata
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
Ryo Tabata $601—Ryo Tabata $1.5K—
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Elizabeth Mandlik
same side · consensus Jazmin Ortenzi
Jazmin Ortenzi $1.0K—Jazmin Ortenzi $550—
Cali: Elvina Kalieva vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela
same side · consensus Irene Burillo Escorihuela
Irene Burillo Escorihuela $1.5K—Irene Burillo Escorihuela $62—
Will Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $864—No $27—
Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 1 - 1 VfB Stuttgart?
same side · consensus No
No $655—No $24—
W35 Liberec: Kristyna Dulikova vs Elena Milovanovic
same side · consensus Elena Milovanovic
Elena Milovanovic $223—Elena Milovanovic $312—
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Stefano Travaglia
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $236—Jurij Rodionov $150—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $111—Yes $7—
W50 Heraklion: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Charo Esquiva Banuls
same side · consensus Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas
Charo Esquiva Banuls $34—Charo Esquiva Banuls $30—