← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 50-Pence | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (118–128, n=246) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 65% (865–456, n=1321) | 50% (1029–1027, n=2056) |
| Consensus PnL | $141K | $11.1M | $4.1M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #612 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (29 of 32 open) | 65% (117 of 180 open) | 70% (53 of 76 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −6 pts, n=62 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 241 at avg 44¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 8% of 110) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 31% of 26) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 63% of 27) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 94% of 78) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.