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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsernamebeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)73% (4207–1587, n=5794)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$459K$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (113 of 157 open)100% (1 of 1 open)55% (73 of 133 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won98% of 5270 at avg 56¢, ROI +7%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 74% of 285)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 1965)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 1803)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 100% of 1217)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsernamebeachboy4RN1
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $25K—Bills $28K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $8.8K—Cowboys $12K
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $24—No $6.7K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $3.6K—Cowboys $1.4K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $344—Under $2.2K
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $1.8K—Titans $14
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $407—No $516
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $67—Yes $108
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $6—Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1
Vikings vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $14K—Lions $29K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6K—No $26K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $621—Bills $18K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $784Yes $4.2K—
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $487—No $4.1K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $2.9K—Magic $228
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $253—Over $2.5K
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $65—No $2.6K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
same side · consensus Toulouse FC
Toulouse FC $562—Toulouse FC $1.8K
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $440—Yes $934
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $337—No $18
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $41—No $185