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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BTCGambler247 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (209–85, n=294) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 62% (393–246, n=639) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $392K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (46 of 57 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 258 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 61% of 31) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 89% of 44) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 92% of 77) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 106) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BTCGambler247 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $264 | No $252K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $370 | No $202K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $65 | Yes $72K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.9K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | Yes $4.5K | — | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $639 | Yes $2.4K | — | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $566 | Yes $28 | — | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $89 | Yes $37 | — | — |