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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bet1nthedarkBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)88% (160–21, n=181)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL-$24K$7.7M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus93% (13 of 14 open)73% (43 of 59 open)56% (92 of 163 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won92% of 165 at avg 85¢, ROI +6%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 5)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 67% of 9)36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 85% of 13)35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up84% (won 97% of 138)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBet1nthedarkBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179KCowboys $1.9K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $115KNo $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101KCowboys $1.8K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67KEagles $165
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $37KEagles $8.3K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11KEagles $2.3K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $4.3K76ers $371
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $24076ers $155
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $339KNo $27K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18KChiefs $1.6K