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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BoomLaLaBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)58% (5903–4359, n=10262)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$647K$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #840PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus55% (18 of 33 open)71% (73 of 103 open)66% (101 of 153 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 4708 at avg 59¢, ROI +19%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 39% of 318)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 78% of 1589)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 93% of 1292)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 1509)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBoomLaLaBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $1Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Raiders $287Raiders $171KJets $192—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $53Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $23Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $105—Lions $3.2K—
Titans vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $161—Titans $1.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $53—Cardinals $1.3K—
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $85—Titans $302—
Spread: Bengals (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Bengals $2—Titans $50—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $207Bills $51K——
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643—
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $76—Over $2.1K—
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Jets $65—Jets $2.1K—
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 32.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7—Over $1.9K—
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $153—Ravens $847—
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $186—Over $546—