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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BoomLaLaBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)58% (5903–4359, n=10262)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$647K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #840PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus58% (19 of 33 open)72% (74 of 103 open)64% (98 of 154 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 4708 at avg 59¢, ROI +19%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 39% of 318)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 78% of 1589)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 93% of 1292)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 1509)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBoomLaLaBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $1Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $287Raiders $171KJets $192—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $53Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $23Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Vikings $105—Lions $3.2K—
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $145—Bills $1.5K—
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $53—Cardinals $1.3K—
Titans vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $161—Titans $658—
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $85—Titans $302—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $207Bills $51K——
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643—
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $76—Over $2.1K—
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Jets $65—Jets $2.1K—
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 32.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7—Over $1.9K—
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $153—Ravens $847—
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $186—Over $546—