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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #485
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)74% (175 of 238 open)61% (41 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $5
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $880Over $71
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $435Over $155
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572Over $10
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8Under $34
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499No $8