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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$14.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #484
Sides with the consensus69% (20 of 29 open)71% (183 of 258 open)61% (19 of 31 open)72% (36 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572Over $3.3KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
W75 Petange: Lisa Zaar vs Lea Nilsson
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Zaar
—Lea Nilsson $23Lisa Zaar $3.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Lorenzo Musetti $444Luca Van Assche $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $862—Over $71
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $383—Over $158
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8—Under $35
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28—
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $3Jurij Rodionov $11—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $22KAnastasia Zakharova $17K—
Luanda: Madhurima Sawant vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $20Noma Noha Akugue $23K—
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $5.1KSumit Nagal $3.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $8
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127Yes $176—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42—