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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)50% (20931–20602, n=41533)60% (6546–4442, n=10988)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M$3.2M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #7PM monthly #484
Sides with the consensus69% (20 of 29 open)71% (183 of 258 open)70% (32 of 46 open)72% (36 of 50 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2623)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 7839)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8452)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 19323)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KUnder $22KOver $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KNo $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572Under $1.3KOver $10
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499No $15KNo $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Under $5.2K—
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $862—Over $71
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Athletic Club $345—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $548Yes $2—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $383—Over $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $64—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $127No $270—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132Yes $3—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8—Under $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1KNo $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $343Under $768—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0KOver $7—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $791—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $364Under $601—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $138Yes $65—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6—
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6No $60—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7Under $12—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $12Yes $2—