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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGaditimajoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (3937–4482, n=8419)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)
Consensus PnL$11.0M-$384K$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #522PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (83 of 110 open)50% (249 of 495 open)no open consensus position53% (19 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Soccer −2 pts, n=1828——
Settled positions, side won97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%46% of 6997 at avg 46¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 79% of 58)34% (won 7% of 2385)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 200)17% (won 36% of 1204)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 194)21% (won 62% of 1501)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 107)27% (won 89% of 1907)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGaditimajoseph00677RN1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30KNo $7.9K——
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20KNo $276——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.3KNo $2.5K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $624Yes $6.1K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.4KYes $188——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $395No $4.0K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $134—No $2.5K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $737Yes $703——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $133KNo $268——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $95KYes $712——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $33KYes $6.4K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $31KNo $6.6K——
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $34KYes $344——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $32KYes $216——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $26KNo $1.5K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $2.0K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.5KNo $8.2K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.1KYes $53——
Villa Maria: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Ryan Nijboer
—Lorenzo Gagliardo $78—Lorenzo Gagliardo $517
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $286Yes $9——