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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | LightParadox | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 54% (666–577, n=1243) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $23K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #197 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 53% (92 of 172 open) | 59% (53 of 90 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | LightParadox | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Cameron Norrie opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton | — | — | Ben Shelton $14K | Cameron Norrie $180 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli | — | — | Franco Roncadelli $7.2K | Rafael Tosetto $467 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Estevez vs Ryo Tabata opposite sides · consensus Ryo Tabata | — | — | Juan Estevez $855 | Ryo Tabata $4.4K |
| VfB Stuttgart leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $27 | No $3.2K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon | — | — | Lucas Da Silva $6 | Lautaro Midon $2.9K |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $193 | Over $1.4K |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos opposite sides · consensus Norbert Gombos | — | — | Dalibor Svrcina $1.4K | Norbert Gombos $24 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $755 | Over $41 |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $161 | No $481 |
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $17 | No $269 |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $64 | Yes $5 |
| Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $28 | No $22 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $680 | No $17K |
| Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $13K | No $1.1K |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $229 | No $13K |
| Villa Maria: Thiago Cigarran vs Hernan Casanova same side · consensus Hernan Casanova | — | — | Hernan Casanova $86 | Hernan Casanova $12K |
| Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert same side · consensus Simona Waltert | — | — | Simona Waltert $3.2K | Simona Waltert $6.8K |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Villarreal CF | — | — | Villarreal CF $3.3K | Villarreal CF $321 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $693 | Under $2.5K |
| Charlottesville: Andrew Fenty vs Darwin Blanch same side · consensus Darwin Blanch | — | — | Darwin Blanch $586 | Darwin Blanch $1.7K |
| Galatasaray SK leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $871 | No $1.4K |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $550 | Under $1.0K |
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $19 | No $1.5K |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $12 | Under $1.0K |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $469 | No $249 |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $34 | No $536 |
| Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 1 - 1 VfB Stuttgart? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $378 | No $24 |
| Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $111 | Over $95 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: Galatasaray SK O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $170 | Under $3 |
| Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri | — | — | Valentino Grippo $22 | Valentino Grippo $52 |
| Cali: Carole Monnet vs Maria Herazo same side · consensus Carole Monnet | — | — | Maria Herazo $13 | Maria Herazo $58 |
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $34 | No $31 |