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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | dartanyan150 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 58% (272–199, n=471) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | -$15K | $14.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #702 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #75 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (38 of 49 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (56 of 99 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 95% of 234 at avg 67¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 4% (won 78% of 9) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 48% (won 95% of 113) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 47% (won 98% of 111) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | dartanyan150 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $166K | — | Cowboys $1.1K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $139K | — | Eagles $1.1K | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Colts $114K | — | Cowboys $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $101K | — | Cowboys $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $43K | — | Eagles $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $22K | — | Cowboys $129 | — |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Giants $74K | — | Giants $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $21K | — | Chiefs $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Rams $13K | — | Rams $1.9K | — |