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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3ferrariChampions2026primm
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)63% (10880–6283, n=17163)35% (3641–6649, n=10290)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$680K$2.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #506PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus77% (27 of 35 open)64% (322 of 500 open)68% (19 of 28 open)54% (7 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=121, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1164, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=150, ROI +19%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5751 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)38% (won 18% of 2184)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)7% (won 53% of 393)—41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)9% (won 71% of 531)—50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 2643)—5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3ferrariChampions2026primm
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K—Jaguars $201K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KYes $17——
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K—Jaguars $36K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
——UTSA $6.4KFlorida Atlantic $24K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $68——
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——Southern Miss $810James Madison $2.2K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $309——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.1KUnder $1.5K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Under $732—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $24Under $1.8K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $8——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $309——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $12——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $6——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KYes $524——
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1K——Ravens $510
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293—Ravens $716—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837——Ravens $4
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49Yes $40——