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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)58% (150–110, n=260)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.3M$14.8M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #8PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #876
Sides with the consensus80% (40 of 50 open)no open consensus position56% (62 of 111 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1SilentShark
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $215K—Over $1.2K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $166K—Cowboys $1.4K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114K—Cowboys $1.7K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $64K—Eagles $3.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $22K—Cowboys $161—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.0KOver $10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $632K—No $55K—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K—Chiefs $967—
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $19K—Rams $332—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KOver $92
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $4
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $315Yes $75