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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | morito181 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 69% (533–239, n=772) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $5.6M | $1.0M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #189 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (78 of 114 open) | no open consensus position | 76% (119 of 156 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=19 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 920 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 6% of 201) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 43% of 47) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 54% of 57) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 67% (won 96% of 615) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.