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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjuice-fruitlalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (1–0, n=1)no settled market68% (360–171, n=531)
Consensus PnL$779K$152K—-$115K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #32was PM monthly #736PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (12 of 22 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position63% (97 of 153 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)2% (won 100% of 1)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)25% (won 100% of 12)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)44% (won 100% of 21)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)29% (won 100% of 14)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjuice-fruitlalalalalalallalalalalaRN1
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $28K——76ers $873
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $19K——Suns $492
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $298——Suns $9.1K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $6.5K——Suns $431
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $744——76ers $351
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $243——Magic $3
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $43——Suns $43
Celtics vs. 76ers
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $180K——Celtics $24K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $7.2K——Kings $204
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $11——Celtics $1.4K
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $76——Kings $68