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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankpagliacci4RN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)96% (1650–75, n=1725)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$11K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #959PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus72% (42 of 58 open)96% (24 of 25 open)56% (87 of 156 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankpagliacci4RN1S-Works
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K—Cowboys $1.9K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K—Eagles $20—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49K—Cowboys $4.9K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $37K—Eagles $8.7K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $1.4K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.2K—76ers $371—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $224K—No $4.7K—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K—
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0KNo $5.9K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $1.8KLions $2.2K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9KYes $1.4K—