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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | rainbowlilies | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 43% (2877–3862, n=6739) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $162K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #598 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (12 of 22 open) | 33% (66 of 200 open) | 60% (109 of 181 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=492 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 7% of 5559 at avg 5¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 96% (won 5% of 5354) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 2% (won 37% of 105) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 1% (won 68% of 66) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 1% (won 85% of 34) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | rainbowlilies | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $250 | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | Yes $27 | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $516 | Yes $69 | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $164 | Yes $3 | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $80 | Yes $12 | — |