← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | rainbowlilies | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6510–6010, n=12520) | 42% (2934–4044, n=6978) | 47% (14126–15613, n=29739) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.3M | $157K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #574 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (20 of 29 open) | 71% (191 of 270 open) | 49% (123 of 253 open) | 56% (18 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Soccer −1 pts, n=544 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 7% of 5875 at avg 5¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 96% (won 5% of 5667) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 2% (won 36% of 108) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 1% (won 70% of 64) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 1% (won 83% of 36) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | rainbowlilies | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $572 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $14 | — | Under $181 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $28 |
| W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric | — | Pia Lovric $21 | — | Oriana Gniewkowska $5 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea | — | Sorana Cirstea $28K | — | Sorana Cirstea $21K |
| Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | — | Anastasia Zakharova $23K | — | Anastasia Zakharova $17K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | Yes $240 | — |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $6.2K | — | Yes $5.5K |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.1K | — | No $747 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.4K | — | Yes $25 | — |
| Will FC Bunyodkor vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | No $517 |
| Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov | — | Toby Samuel $67 | — | Toby Samuel $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $137 | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $261 | — | Over $664 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $127 | — | Yes $176 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $174 | — | Under $42 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $164 | — | Yes $3 | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $80 | — | Yes $12 | — |