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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CUTJALENHURTSndb1sainttroplayUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)65% (888–469, n=1357)no settled market50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$634K$4.2M—$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #55PM monthly #147—PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus62% (85 of 137 open)74% (34 of 46 open)no open consensus position69% (84 of 121 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicGolf −2 pts, n=108NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1341)13% (won 15% of 168)—7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 46% of 3607)20% (won 39% of 256)—21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3523)24% (won 58% of 314)—22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 86% of 1699)43% (won 93% of 550)—51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCUTJALENHURTSndb1sainttroplayUpTheBlues
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $218
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $626Yes $420——
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $65Yes $529——
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1Yes $160——
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1Yes $121——
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $286Yes $62K——
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3KNo $6——
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $275No $2.4K——
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $700Yes $3——
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $454——
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $26No $5——