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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DreamwireBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)86% (2698–437, n=3135)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$11K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #411PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)71% (73 of 103 open)no open consensus position59% (19 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=76———
Settled positions, side won82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 5% of 319)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 130)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 66% of 152)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 1919)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDreamwireBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14No $407K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $532Yes $77K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $750——Over $1.1K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $94Yes $258K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12Yes $39K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $14K——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8Yes $11K——
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $625——Under $809
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $131——Under $65