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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DropperRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)73% (685–247, n=932)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.5M$13.4M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #813 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus75% (9 of 12 open)65% (86 of 132 open)no open consensus position71% (58 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −4 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won72% of 1096 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 16% of 248)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 49% of 102)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 69% of 117)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 98% of 629)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDropperRN1CORGIIBreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $51—Browns $300K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $1.6K—Browns $259K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $30K——Yes $85K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $268—Raiders $105K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15K——Yes $38K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——No $35K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $23—Cardinals $32K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $611—Cardinals $2.7K