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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EatprayloveBreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)50% (411–407, n=818)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$529K$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #576 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus59% (30 of 51 open)72% (74 of 103 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL ±0 pts, n=39——
Settled positions, side won58% of 1179 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 6% of 436)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 48% of 85)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 74% of 76)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 96% of 582)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEatprayloveBreakTheBankCORGII
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.6KNo $252K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $815Yes $71K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.6KYes $37K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $586Yes $38K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KNo $35K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5KYes $28K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1KNo $24K—
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0KYes $2.2K—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $402No $747—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $28KYes $169K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $579Yes $4.1K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9Yes $4.6K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1KNo $590—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $82Yes $943—