Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)51% (4636–4375, n=9011)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)45% (542–652, n=1194)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$14.8M$11.0M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus64% (84 of 131 open)57% (12 of 21 open)86% (134 of 156 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6KNo $7.7K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi
opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $4.1KMatteo Arnaldi $445——
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.2KOver $130——
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9KYes $333——
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KNo $341——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $57Over $45——
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14No $19——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $20Over $8——
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5KNo $11K——
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4.2KUnder $3.9K——
Kayserispor vs. Muglaspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1KOver $5.4K——
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.6KNo $232——
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.0KUnder $641——
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $579Under $799——
Will Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $403No $44——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $167Under $147——
Al Nassr Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $140No $6——
Spread: Al Nassr Club (-2.5)
same side · consensus Pakhtakor
Pakhtakor $32Pakhtakor $69——
Villa Maria: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ian Luca Vertberger
same side · consensus Lorenzo Gagliardo
Ian Luca Vertberger $2Ian Luca Vertberger $48——